赔率学院

Villarreal v Sevilla

开赛时间: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Villarreal (主队)

预测 44.93%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.730%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布
43.23%44.91%44.94%47.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.092.102.1950.00%47.81%47.62%45.66%MIN均值中位数MAX

Sevilla (客队)

预测 26.82%3.73公平赔率
EV +5.41%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.85%
增长率 +0.100%

假设最高赔率为 3.93

博彩公司预测分布
24.68%26.89%26.79%28.54%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.503.503.9332.26%28.60%28.57%25.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.25%3.54公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.326%
Kelly -0.457%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.83%28.20%28.27%29.52%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.323.353.5033.33%30.15%29.85%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.68%EV +5.41%E +1.38%K +1.85%G +0.100%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.53%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.10%EV -0.219%E -0.059%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.31%EV -3.12%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -0.755%E -0.204%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 16:41
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -0.755%E -0.204%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -0.755%E -0.204%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:50
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 16:40
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 16:41
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -2.90%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 16:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 16:25
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 16:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 16:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.55%E -0.740%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.55%E -0.740%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.40%EV -1.60%E -0.730%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.16%EV -3.97%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.43%EV -3.40%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -1.99%E -0.573%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 16:45
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -1.99%E -0.573%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 16:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 16:50
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 16:45
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.32%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -5.32%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.97%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:50
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.56%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:46
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:45
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:31
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 16:35
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 16:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:40
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:45
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.44%E -3.61%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:40
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.45%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 16:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.45%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 16:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -9.24%E -4.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.85%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 16:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 16:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:55
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.85%E -5.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 16:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-13 16:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-13 16:45
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-05-13 16:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-13 16:41