Школа коэффициентов

Villarreal v Sevilla

Начало: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Итог: Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Villarreal (Хозяева)

Прогноз 44.93%2.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.60%
Преимущество -0.730%
Kelly -1.34%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.19

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.23%44.91%44.94%47.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.092.102.1950.00%47.81%47.62%45.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sevilla (Гости)

Прогноз 26.82%3.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.41%
Преимущество +1.38%
Kelly +1.85%
Рост +0.100%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.93

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.68%26.89%26.79%28.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.503.503.9332.26%28.60%28.57%25.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.25%3.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.14%
Преимущество -0.326%
Kelly -0.457%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.83%28.20%28.27%29.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.323.353.5033.33%30.15%29.85%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.68%EV +5.41%E +1.38%K +1.85%G +0.100%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.53%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.10%EV -0.219%E -0.059%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.31%EV -3.12%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -0.755%E -0.204%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 16:41
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -0.755%E -0.204%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -0.755%E -0.204%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:50
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 16:40
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 16:41
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -2.90%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 16:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 16:25
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 16:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 16:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.55%E -0.740%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.55%E -0.740%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.40%EV -1.60%E -0.730%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.16%EV -3.97%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.43%EV -3.40%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -1.99%E -0.573%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 16:45
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.12%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -1.99%E -0.573%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 16:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 16:50
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 16:45
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.32%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -5.32%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.97%EV -4.81%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:50
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.56%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:46
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:45
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:31
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 16:35
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 16:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:40
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 16:45
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -7.44%E -3.61%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:40
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.45%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 16:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.45%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 16:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -9.24%E -4.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.85%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.457%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 16:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 16:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:50
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:55
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.85%E -5.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 16:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-13 16:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-05-13 16:45
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-05-13 16:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-13 16:41