Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Villarreal v Levante

2026-09-20 16:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Frente a frente

28 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Villarreal (Local)

Previsão 59.00%1.70odd justa
EV +1.47%
Vantagem +0.857%
Kelly +2.05%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.05%58.95%59.09%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.601.601.7267.57%62.57%62.50%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Levante (Visitante)

Previsão 18.78%5.32odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.262%
Kelly +0.322%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.52%18.73%18.83%19.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.954.955.4022.73%20.21%20.20%18.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.22%4.50odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -0.872%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.33%22.32%22.08%23.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.164.204.3325.64%24.05%23.81%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Villarreal (Local): 59.00%; Levante (Visitante): 18.78%; Empate: 22.22%. Para Villarreal (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.70. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.72, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.47%.

Odds das casas de apostas (28 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.16%EV +1.47%E +0.857%K +2.05%G +0.030%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.20%EV -3.84%E -0.750%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.63%EV -7.55%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-13 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 20:16
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 19:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 19:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV +1.42%E +0.262%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -10.00%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV +1.42%E +0.262%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -10.00%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.88%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.88%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -2.72%E -0.524%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.09%EV -4.66%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 18:06
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -9.15%E -5.94%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.44%EV -12.69%E -8.57%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.90%EV -12.22%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 57.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.09%3.9%2026-09-13 20:31
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%13.5%2026-09-13 17:45
Arbitragem (14 combinações) +0.25%1xBet 1.72 (58.3%) / Betsson 5.40 (18.6%) / BetOnline.ag 4.33 (23.2%)Mostrar as 14 combinações
Villarreal (Local)Levante (Visitante)EmpateMargem
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.6%)BetOnline.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.6%)LowVig.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.6%)BetOnline.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.6%)LowVig.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.29 (23.3%)+0.032%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.29 (23.3%)+0.032%