StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Villarreal v Levante

2026-09-20 16:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Direkter Vergleich

28 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Villarreal (Heim)

Prognose 59.00%1.70faire Quote
EV +1.47%
Vorteil +0.857%
Kelly +2.05%
Wachstum +0.030%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.05%58.95%59.09%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.481.601.601.7267.57%62.57%62.50%58.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Levante (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.78%5.32faire Quote
EV +1.42%
Vorteil +0.262%
Kelly +0.322%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.52%18.73%18.83%19.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.404.954.955.4022.73%20.21%20.20%18.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.22%4.50faire Quote
EV -3.77%
Vorteil -0.872%
Kelly -1.13%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.33%22.32%22.08%23.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.904.164.204.3325.64%24.05%23.81%23.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Villarreal (Heim): 59.00%; Levante (Auswärts): 18.78%; Unentschieden: 22.22%. Für Villarreal (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.70. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.72 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.47%.

Wettanbieterquoten (28 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.16%EV +1.47%E +0.857%K +2.05%G +0.030%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.20%EV -3.84%E -0.750%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.63%EV -7.55%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-13 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -3.84%E -2.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 20:16
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -4.43%E -2.73%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 19:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -5.02%E -3.12%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 19:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV +1.42%E +0.262%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -10.00%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV +1.42%E +0.262%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -10.00%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -5.61%E -3.50%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -7.97%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.88%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.88%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.61%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -2.72%E -0.524%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.09%EV -4.66%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 18:06
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.20%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -1.40%E -0.267%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.10%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -6.79%E -4.30%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -7.38%E -4.70%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -7.97%E -5.11%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -11.73%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -9.15%E -5.94%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -9.85%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.44%EV -12.69%E -8.57%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.90%EV -12.22%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (2)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 57.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.09%3.9%2026-09-13 20:31
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%13.5%2026-09-13 17:45
Arbitrage (14 Kombinationen) +0.25%1xBet 1.72 (58.3%) / Betsson 5.40 (18.6%) / BetOnline.ag 4.33 (23.2%)Alle 14 Kombinationen anzeigen
Villarreal (Heim)Levante (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.6%)BetOnline.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.6%)LowVig.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.6%)BetOnline.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.3%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.6%)LowVig.ag🎯 4.33 (23.2%)+0.248%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%)+0.086%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)Betsson🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.29 (23.3%)+0.032%
1xBet🎯 1.72 (58.2%)NordicBet🎯 5.40 (18.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.29 (23.3%)+0.032%