A Escola das Odds

Villarreal v Elche CF

Início: 2026-03-08 13:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Villarreal (Local)

Previsão 65.19%1.53odd justa
EV +1.70%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +3.03%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.11%65.05%65.30%66.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.441.5671.43%69.17%69.44%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elche CF (Visitante)

Previsão 14.80%6.76odd justa
EV +9.52%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescimento +0.142%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.96%14.88%14.70%18.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.356.416.507.4018.69%15.60%15.38%13.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.01%5.00odd justa
EV +0.042%
Vantagem +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.19%20.07%20.00%23.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.644.655.0026.67%21.53%21.51%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +9.52%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.142%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 12:59
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.56%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.57%EV +5.82%E +0.814%K +0.946%G +0.055%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.87%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +3.60%E +0.514%K +0.599%G +0.022%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 12:58
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +3.60%E +0.514%K +0.599%G +0.022%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 13:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.60%E +0.514%K +0.599%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.67%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.09%EV +2.12%E +0.307%K +0.359%G +0.008%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 12:58
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +2.12%E +0.307%K +0.359%G +0.008%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.96%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 13:00
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.37%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.27%EV +0.341%E +0.050%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.37%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.27%EV +0.341%E +0.050%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 13:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -2.21%E -1.47%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.17%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 13:00
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.17%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.48%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.26%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.77%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 12:57
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 12:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.70%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.85%EV -3.06%E -0.468%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 12:59
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 12:59
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 12:59
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 13:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:56
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:00
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -8.08%E -5.73%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -5.28%E -0.825%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.74%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.82%EV -6.76%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.32%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.50%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.53%EV -2.96%E -0.610%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 12:58
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.76%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -7.50%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 13:00
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.79%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.36%EV -8.24%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -8.24%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 12:59
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%EV -8.24%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.06%EV -8.96%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -9.72%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -9.72%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 13:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:59
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 12:59
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 13:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 12:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -24.97%E -6.66%K -9.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.92%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.68%E -2.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -8.96%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:59
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -14.16%E -2.44%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -14.16%E -2.44%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.33%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.56%EV -15.64%E -2.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -15.96%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 13:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.11%EV +1.70%E +1.09%K +3.03%G +0.052%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.11%EV -20.82%E -3.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 12:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-03-08 13:00
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%3.0%2026-03-08 13:00