L’École des cotes

Villarreal v Elche CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 13:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Villarreal (Local)

Prévision 65.19%1.53cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +3.03%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.11%65.05%65.30%66.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5671.43%69.17%69.44%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elche CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.80%6.76cote équitable
EV +9.52%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.142%

avec la cote maximale 7.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.96%14.88%14.70%18.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.356.416.507.4018.69%15.60%15.38%13.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.01%5.00cote équitable
EV +0.042%
Avantage +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.19%20.07%20.00%23.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.644.655.0026.67%21.53%21.51%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +9.52%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.142%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 12:59
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.56%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.57%EV +5.82%E +0.814%K +0.946%G +0.055%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.87%EV -6.96%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +3.60%E +0.514%K +0.599%G +0.022%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 12:58
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +3.60%E +0.514%K +0.599%G +0.022%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 13:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +3.60%E +0.514%K +0.599%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.67%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.09%EV +2.12%E +0.307%K +0.359%G +0.008%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 12:58
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +2.12%E +0.307%K +0.359%G +0.008%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -10.96%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 13:00
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.37%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.27%EV +0.341%E +0.050%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.37%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.27%EV +0.341%E +0.050%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.37%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 13:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -2.21%E -1.47%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.17%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 13:00
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.17%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.48%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.26%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.77%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 12:57
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 12:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.70%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.85%EV -3.06%E -0.468%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 12:59
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 12:59
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 12:59
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 13:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:56
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.80%E -0.585%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:00
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -8.08%E -5.73%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -5.28%E -0.825%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.74%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.82%EV -6.76%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.32%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -7.50%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.53%EV -2.96%E -0.610%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 12:58
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.76%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -7.50%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 13:00
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.79%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.36%EV -8.24%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -8.24%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 12:59
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%EV -8.24%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.06%EV -8.96%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -9.72%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -9.72%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -3.96%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 13:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:59
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 12:59
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 13:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 12:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -11.20%E -1.87%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -24.97%E -6.66%K -9.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.92%EV -5.47%E -3.77%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.68%E -2.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -8.96%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:59
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -14.16%E -2.44%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -14.16%E -2.44%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.33%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.56%EV -15.64%E -2.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -15.96%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 13:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.11%EV +1.70%E +1.09%K +3.03%G +0.052%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.11%EV -20.82%E -3.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -1.96%E -0.400%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-03-08 13:00
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%3.0%2026-03-08 13:00