Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 2.88
assuming max odds 3.37
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia (Local): 36.22%; Real Betis (Visit): 34.38%; Draw: 29.40%. For Valencia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.385%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -0.385%E -0.140%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.385%E -0.140%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -9.93%E -3.79%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.385%E -0.140%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -9.93%E -3.79%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -1.11%E -0.406%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.90%EV -4.75%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.16%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -10.62%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -2.20%E -0.813%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -10.62%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.31%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.02%EV -1.68%E -0.587%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.67%EV -3.57%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-25 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.99%EV -4.73%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.99%EV -4.73%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.99%EV -4.73%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.99%EV -4.73%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.53%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.30%EV -5.46%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.08%EV -4.43%E -1.59%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 18:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.91%EV -1.68%E -0.587%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.78%EV -0.929%E -0.276%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -0.990%E -0.344%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.28%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -0.990%E -0.344%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.28%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -2.99%E -0.905%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.62%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -2.02%E -0.709%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.74%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -8.72%E -3.46%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.18%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -5.46%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.93%E -3.79%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.90%E -3.36%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-25 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -12.34%E -5.10%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.54%EV -6.15%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 18:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.3% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-08-25 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 18:10 |