Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Valencia v Real Betis

2026-08-25 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Valencia (Local)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV -0.706%
Edge -0.253%
Kelly -0.394%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%35.68%35.58%36.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.652.7940.82%38.11%37.74%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Betis (Visit)

Prediction 35.51%2.82fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%35.57%35.49%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.622.7540.00%37.91%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.90%3.46fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.75%28.93%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.263.273.4032.47%30.64%30.58%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Valencia (Local): 35.59%; Real Betis (Visit): 35.51%; Draw: 28.90%. For Valencia (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.79, with an expected value of -0.706%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -0.706%E -0.253%K -0.394%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.78%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-19 00:50
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.23%EV -2.13%E -0.774%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.48%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 00:49
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 20:20
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%EV -2.49%E -0.907%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 20:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 08:49
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 08:49
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 08:49
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 08:49
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 08:49
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 09:35
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -6.37%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 19:14
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 19:04
BetUS2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.26%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 21:04
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 11:29
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 11:29
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.89%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 08:50
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.89%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 09:15
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.89%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 09:15
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.89%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 09:15
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 08:00
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.89%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 11:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 11:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 19:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 09:35
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.25%E -3.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.25%E -3.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 08:50
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.25%E -3.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 08:50
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.25%E -3.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 08:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.25%E -3.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 00:09
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.25%E -3.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 00:10
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.25%E -3.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 08:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -1.75%E -0.515%K -0.730%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 01:05
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 09:35
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-31 08:50
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-31 08:50
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.09%EV -12.09%E -4.90%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.95%EV -11.00%E -3.57%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-31 09:39
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -12.81%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -9.44%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-31 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%6.1%2026-08-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.00%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.76%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.24%8.1%2026-08-03 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.00%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.76%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.24%8.1%2026-08-03 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.00%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.76%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.24%8.1%2026-08-03 15:55