The School of Odds

Valencia v Real Betis

2026-08-25 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Valencia (Local)

Prediction 35.44%2.82fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.66%35.43%35.41%36.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.612.602.7040%38%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Real Betis (Visit)

Prediction 35.95%2.78fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.39%35.96%35.88%36.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.602.7042%39%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.61%3.50fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.61%28.71%29.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.263.303.4033%31%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -2.93%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 11:29
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.08%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 11:29
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.08%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.79%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.79%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 11:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 11:29
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 11:29
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 11:29
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -13.72%E -5.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-14 11:29
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-14 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-07-14 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-07-14 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 33.87%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 32.26%23.0%2026-07-14 12:59