L’École des cotes

Valencia v Girona

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Valencia (Local)

Prévision 45.79%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.726%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.00%45.86%45.71%47.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.73%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Girona (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.70%3.75cote équitable
EV +1.45%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.518%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.68%26.74%27.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.553.8030.30%28.12%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.940%
Avantage -0.261%
Kelly -0.361%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.46%27.55%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.38%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:19
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:20
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.116%E +0.031%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -1.77%E -0.494%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:34
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.116%E +0.031%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -1.77%E -0.494%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:35
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:20
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:20
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:20
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:19
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.77%EV -1.56%E -0.726%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.74%EV -1.75%E -0.476%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV -1.49%E -0.416%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:19
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:20
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:20
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -2.93%E -1.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.36%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -3.14%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:14
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 14:18
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 14:09
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:34
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:19
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.80%E -4.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:19
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.31%E -2.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.77%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 15:39
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:59
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.91%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.94%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.940%E -0.261%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:09
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:49
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -4.77%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 14:09
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:14
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:34
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -9.34%E -4.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.72%E -5.50%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.93%E -1.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:14
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.26%E -5.23%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 14:19
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.26%E -5.23%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 14:20
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:24
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:35
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 15:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:25
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.77%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.45%E -5.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-04-23 15:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%3.1%2026-04-24 03:20