مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valencia v Girona

البداية: 2026-04-25 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valencia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.79%2.18السعر العادل
EV -1.56%
الأفضلية -0.726%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.00%45.86%45.71%47.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.73%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Girona (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.70%3.75السعر العادل
EV +1.45%
الأفضلية +0.382%
Kelly +0.518%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.52%26.68%26.74%27.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.563.553.8030.30%28.12%28.17%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.52%3.63السعر العادل
EV -0.940%
الأفضلية -0.261%
Kelly -0.361%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.42%27.46%27.55%29.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.38%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:19
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:20
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +1.45%E +0.382%K +0.518%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.116%E +0.031%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -1.77%E -0.494%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:34
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.116%E +0.031%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -1.77%E -0.494%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:35
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:20
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:20
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:20
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.22%E -0.330%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 14:19
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.77%EV -1.56%E -0.726%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.74%EV -1.75%E -0.476%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV -1.49%E -0.416%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:19
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:20
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.51%E -3.72%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.55%E -0.700%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:20
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -2.93%E -1.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.36%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -3.14%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:14
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 14:18
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 14:09
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:34
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:19
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.80%E -4.98%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 14:19
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.31%E -2.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.77%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 15:39
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:59
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.91%EV -5.49%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.94%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.940%E -0.261%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:09
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:49
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -4.77%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 14:09
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:14
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:34
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -9.34%E -4.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.72%E -5.50%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -2.93%E -1.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:14
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.26%E -5.23%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 14:19
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.26%E -5.23%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 14:20
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:25
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.44%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:24
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:35
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:09
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 15:44
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:25
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.77%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.43%E -4.21%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.45%E -5.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 14:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-04-24 03:15
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-04-23 15:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%3.1%2026-04-24 03:20