L’École des cotes

Valencia v Barcelona

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Valencia 3–1 Barcelona

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Valencia (Local)

Prévision 27.23%3.67cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.351%
Kelly +0.480%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.95%27.33%27.15%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.433.403.7232.26%29.15%29.41%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barcelona (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.27%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.84%49.18%49.34%51.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.15%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.50%4.26cote équitable
EV -0.129%
Avantage -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.82%23.49%23.51%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.984.004.2530.77%25.12%25.00%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.30%E +0.351%K +0.480%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.30%E +0.351%K +0.480%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV +0.488%E +0.132%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.97%EV -0.834%E -0.198%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -0.874%E -0.240%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.99%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.37%EV -2.48%E -0.597%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.59%EV -3.43%E -1.75%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -2.48%E -0.597%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:29
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.76%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.32%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:29
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:48
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:29
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -1.46%E -0.732%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 13:29
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:20
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:29
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:29
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.85%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -23.63%E -7.27%K -10.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-05-23 18:49