La escuela de los momios

Valencia v Barcelona

Inicio: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Valencia 3–1 Barcelona

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Valencia (Local)

Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.351%
Kelly +0.480%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.95%27.33%27.15%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.403.7232.26%29.15%29.41%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barcelona (Visitante)

Predicción 49.27%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.84%49.18%49.34%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.15%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.50%4.26momio equitativo
EV -0.129%
Ventaja -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.82%23.49%23.51%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.984.004.2530.77%25.12%25.00%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.30%E +0.351%K +0.480%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.30%E +0.351%K +0.480%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV +0.488%E +0.132%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.97%EV -0.834%E -0.198%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -0.874%E -0.240%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.99%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.37%EV -2.48%E -0.597%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.59%EV -3.43%E -1.75%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -2.48%E -0.597%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:29
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.76%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.32%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:29
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:48
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:29
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -1.46%E -0.732%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 13:29
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:20
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:29
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:29
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.85%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -23.63%E -7.27%K -10.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-05-23 18:49