مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valencia v Barcelona

البداية: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Valencia 3–1 Barcelona

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valencia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.23%3.67السعر العادل
EV +1.30%
الأفضلية +0.351%
Kelly +0.480%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.95%27.33%27.15%28.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.433.403.7232.26%29.15%29.41%26.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barcelona (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.27%2.03السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.732%
Kelly -1.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.84%49.18%49.34%51.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.15%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.50%4.26السعر العادل
EV -0.129%
الأفضلية -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.82%23.49%23.51%26.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.984.004.2530.77%25.12%25.00%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.30%E +0.351%K +0.480%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.30%E +0.351%K +0.480%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV +0.488%E +0.132%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.97%EV -0.834%E -0.198%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.92%EV -2.94%E -1.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.14%EV -0.129%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -0.602%E -0.165%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.75%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -0.874%E -0.240%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.99%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.37%EV -2.48%E -0.597%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.59%EV -3.43%E -1.75%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.42%EV -2.48%E -0.597%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -1.30%E -0.310%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:29
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -3.32%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.76%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.32%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:48
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:29
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -4.91%E -2.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:48
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:29
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:29
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.90%E -3.09%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -6.39%E -3.36%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.65%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:29
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -1.46%E -0.732%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 13:29
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:20
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:29
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -4.42%E -2.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:29
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -6.88%E -3.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:29
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.53%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:29
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.38%E -3.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.87%E -4.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:29
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -3.93%E -2.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.85%E -4.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -23.63%E -7.27%K -10.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -9.84%E -5.38%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.70%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-23 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-05-23 18:49