預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sevilla v Valencia

開賽時間: 2026-09-13 19:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

22 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sevilla (主隊)

預測 41.10%2.43公平賠率
EV -0.123%
優勢 -0.051%
Kelly -0.086%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.43

博彩公司預測分布
38.26%40.82%41.39%42.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.93%43.48%41.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Valencia (客隊)

預測 28.92%3.46公平賠率
EV -3.11%
優勢 -0.929%
Kelly -1.32%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.35

博彩公司預測分布
27.85%29.08%28.65%30.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.953.213.203.3533.90%31.16%31.25%29.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 29.98%3.34公平賠率
EV -1.98%
優勢 -0.604%
Kelly -0.871%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.27

博彩公司預測分布
29.14%30.10%29.96%31.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.903.113.133.2734.48%32.14%32.00%30.58%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sevilla (主隊):41.10%;Valencia (客隊):28.92%;和局:29.98%。 對於「Sevilla (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.433的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.430,期望值為-0.123%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (22 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.51%EV -0.123%E -0.051%K -0.086%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%EV -3.11%E -0.929%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 30.10%EV -1.98%E -0.604%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -1.77%E -0.739%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -3.48%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -2.18%E -0.915%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -13.23%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 07:30
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:20
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -3.11%E -0.929%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:00
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 18:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -10.40%E -4.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.69%E -6.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -13.69%E -6.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.37%EV -14.68%E -4.98%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.37%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-30 18:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 38.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.58%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.58%16.0%2026-09-04 09:25
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 38.02%2.27I 44.05%NM 30.99%2.27I 44.05%NM 30.99%42.2%2026-08-30 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 44.65%1.71I 58.48%NM 27.68%1.71I 58.48%NM 27.68%111.3%2026-09-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 44.65%1.71I 58.48%NM 27.68%1.71I 58.48%NM 27.68%111.3%2026-09-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 44.65%1.71I 58.48%NM 27.68%1.71I 58.48%NM 27.68%111.3%2026-09-01 14:55