Школа коэффициентов

Sevilla v Real Madrid

Начало: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Итог: Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sevilla (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.43%3.40справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.52%
Преимущество +0.441%
Kelly +0.621%
Рост +0.009%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.70%29.46%29.40%30.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.05%31.25%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Real Madrid (Гости)

Прогноз 43.68%2.29справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.850%
Преимущество -0.374%
Kelly -0.669%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.40%43.63%43.70%45.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.152.152.2750.00%46.45%46.51%44.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.90%3.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.64%
Преимущество -0.729%
Kelly -1.01%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.28%26.91%26.90%28.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.453.503.6232.26%29.00%28.57%27.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +1.52%E +0.441%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +1.52%E +0.441%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 07:36
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +1.52%E +0.441%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 07:40
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +1.52%E +0.441%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 07:40
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%EV +0.050%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.45%EV -0.850%E -0.374%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.55%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV +0.050%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 00:15
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.83%EV -1.13%E -0.335%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.64%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -1.13%E -0.335%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.97%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 15:59
LowVig.ag3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -1.13%E -0.335%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.97%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:40
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:36
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:36
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.37%EV -2.60%E -0.785%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.78%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.85%EV -2.64%E -0.729%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.89%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.89%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.89%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.18%E -0.883%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -2.89%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.46%E -5.10%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 06:30
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 29.23%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.78%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 06:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.65%EV -4.34%E -1.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 06:30
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 21:15
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 07:36
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 07:36
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.25%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 07:40
BetUS3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -5.25%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.40%EV -2.16%E -0.964%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -9.09%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 14:50
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 05:34
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.18%E -0.883%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.51%EV -5.22%E -2.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 18:20
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 22:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -9.15%E -4.40%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 07:40
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -9.59%E -4.63%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 07:36
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -10.02%E -4.87%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.91%EV -10.02%E -4.87%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:39
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 06:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -10.46%E -5.10%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.94%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:36
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.18%E -0.883%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.18%E -0.883%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 09:40
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 04:09
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 06:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 22:25
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.46%E -5.10%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.64%E -6.32%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -16.62%E -5.36%K -7.92%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -10.25%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 20:30
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.25%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -10.25%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 06:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 06:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.50%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40