Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sevilla v Barcelona

2026-09-19 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sevilla (Casa)

Previsione 9.77%10.24quota equa
EV +14.30%
Vantaggio +1.22%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.191%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.39%9.83%9.87%11.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.759.619.5011.7012.90%10.41%10.53%8.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Barcelona (Trasferta)

Previsione 73.89%1.35quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -10.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.90%73.75%73.83%74.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.281.3181.97%78.53%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 16.34%6.12quota equa
EV -1.97%
Vantaggio -0.329%
Kelly -0.395%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.37%16.42%16.31%18.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.695.756.0020.00%17.58%17.39%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Sevilla (Casa): 9.77%; Barcelona (Trasferta): 73.89%; Pareggio: 16.34%. Per Sevilla (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 10.24. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 11.70, con un valore atteso positivo del +14.30%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯11.70I 8.55%NM 8.39%EV +14.30%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.191%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.94%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.67%EV -3.77%E -0.640%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +7.46%E +0.678%K +0.746%G +0.056%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -10.14%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 20:10
Betsson🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +2.57%E +0.245%K +0.271%G +0.007%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.23%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:56
NordicBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +2.57%E +0.245%K +0.271%G +0.007%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.23%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:55
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 19:51
Codere (IT)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:00
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 19:20
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -18.31%E -3.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -18.31%E -3.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:55
PlayUp🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -18.31%E -3.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 20:15
Pinnacle🎯9.97I 10.03%NM 9.46%EV -2.60%E -0.261%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.28%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.26%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 19:51
Betr (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -4.75%E -0.488%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 20:00
BetMGM🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:00
Coral🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:56
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 18:00
Bet Right🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:31
Unibet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.18%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.87%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -12.08%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 19:55
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.08%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:00
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.08%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.14%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -14.52%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 19:56
Neds🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -14.52%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 19:56
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -16.96%E -2.00%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 20:20
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -16.96%E -2.00%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.38%EV -24.29%E -3.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.29%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -11.78%E -2.18%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.90%0.7%2026-09-13 19:51
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 10.72%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%13.8%2026-09-13 20:20