Idioma:Español
Sevilla v Barcelona
Resultado del partido
Sevilla (Local)
Predicción 9.77%10.24momio equitativo
EV +14.30%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.191%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.39%9.83%9.87%11.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.759.619.5011.7012.90%10.41%10.53%8.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barcelona (Visitante)
Predicción 73.89%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -10.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.90%73.75%73.83%74.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.281.3181.97%78.53%78.13%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 16.34%6.12momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.329%
Kelly -0.395%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.37%16.42%16.31%18.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.695.756.0020.00%17.58%17.39%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sevilla (Local): 9.77%; Barcelona (Visitante): 73.89%; Empate: 16.34%. Para Sevilla (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 10.24. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 11.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +14.30%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.39%EV +14.30%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.191% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.94%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.67%EV -3.77%E -0.640%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +7.46%E +0.678%K +0.746%G +0.056% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -10.14%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +2.57%E +0.245%K +0.271%G +0.007% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.23%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 19:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +2.57%E +0.245%K +0.271%G +0.007% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.23%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -18.31%E -3.66%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -2.31%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -18.31%E -3.66%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.46%EV -2.60%E -0.261%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.28%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.26%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 19:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -4.75%E -0.488%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 19:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -18.31%E -3.66%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -7.20%E -0.757%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.18%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.87%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -12.08%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.08%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.08%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.14%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -14.52%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 19:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -14.52%E -1.66%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.24%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 19:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -16.96%E -2.00%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.97%E -0.329%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -16.96%E -2.00%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -6.06%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.38%EV -24.29%E -3.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.29%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -11.78%E -2.18%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.76% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.59% | 2.7% | 2026-09-13 20:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.72% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |