La scuola delle quote

Sevilla v Atlético Madrid

Inizio: 2026-04-11 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sevilla (Casa)

Previsione 43.31%2.31quota equa
EV +3.07%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +2.22%
Crescita +0.068%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.49%43.21%43.29%44.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.222.202.3847.62%45.14%45.45%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.66%3.37quota equa
EV -0.935%
Vantaggio -0.280%
Kelly -0.399%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.02%29.72%29.69%32.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.133.103.3434.72%31.91%32.26%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.03%3.70quota equa
EV -0.513%
Vantaggio -0.139%
Kelly -0.191%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.81%27.07%27.02%28.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.443.453.6833.33%29.04%28.99%27.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +3.07%E +1.29%K +2.22%G +0.068%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +1.77%E +0.752%K +1.31%G +0.023%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +1.77%E +0.752%K +1.31%G +0.023%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 18:50
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +1.77%E +0.752%K +1.31%G +0.023%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 18:50
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -0.398%E -0.173%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 18:50
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -0.398%E -0.173%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 18:50
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -0.398%E -0.173%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 18:50
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.398%E -0.173%K -0.306%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 18:50
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.31%EV -0.831%E -0.363%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.36%EV -8.35%E -2.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -0.513%E -0.139%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.26%E -0.554%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:50
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.26%E -0.554%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.26%E -0.554%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:35
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:50
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.41%EV -3.00%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.73%EV -3.01%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.86%EV -2.13%E -0.590%K -0.815%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-11 18:50
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:50
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.64%EV -3.31%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:50
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.64%EV -3.31%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 18:50
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.75%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:55
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.02%EV -0.935%E -0.280%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -4.03%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 18:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:45
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:01
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -1.32%E -0.363%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:54
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:38
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 17:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 18:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 18:09
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:34
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.03%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:54
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.03%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:54
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.76%EV -5.98%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:53
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.71%EV -6.03%E -2.78%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:48
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 18:53
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:40
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 18:45
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 18:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:39
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -18.90%E -6.30%K -9.45%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-11 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-04-11 18:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-04-11 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-11 18:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-11 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-11 18:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-11 18:55