Школа коэффициентов

Real Sociedad v Valencia

Начало: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Итог: Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Real Sociedad (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.19%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.234%
Преимущество -0.101%
Kelly -0.178%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.31

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.67%43.29%43.18%44.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.042.162.162.3149.02%46.23%46.30%43.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Valencia (Гости)

Прогноз 29.13%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.42%
Преимущество +0.963%
Kelly +1.34%
Рост +0.046%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.34%29.10%29.11%30.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.243.253.5533.33%30.83%30.77%28.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.68%3.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.356%
Преимущество -0.099%
Kelly -0.137%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.32%27.61%27.71%29.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.423.413.6033.33%29.26%29.33%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV +3.42%E +0.963%K +1.34%G +0.046%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 13:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +0.506%E +0.147%K +0.206%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +0.506%E +0.147%K +0.206%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68%EV -0.234%E -0.101%K -0.178%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.33%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:20
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:20
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:19
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.67%EV -1.96%E -0.864%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.00%EV -2.70%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.32%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 08:14
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.99%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -2.70%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.43%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 14:50
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%EV -1.53%E -0.671%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:31
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 06:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 06:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 05:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 23:50
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:10
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.92%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 05:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 08:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 20:16
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 05:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -0.356%E -0.099%K -0.137%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 04:06
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:20
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:20
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 04:05
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 17:20
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -11.03%E -5.35%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 17:19
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 17:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 04:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75%EV -11.89%E -5.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 17:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.96%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 07:16
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-05-17 08:05