مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Sociedad v Valencia

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Sociedad (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.19%2.32السعر العادل
EV -0.234%
الأفضلية -0.101%
Kelly -0.178%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.67%43.29%43.18%44.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.042.162.162.3149.02%46.23%46.30%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valencia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.13%3.43السعر العادل
EV +3.42%
الأفضلية +0.963%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.046%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.34%29.10%29.11%30.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.243.253.5533.33%30.83%30.77%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.68%3.61السعر العادل
EV -0.356%
الأفضلية -0.099%
Kelly -0.137%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.32%27.61%27.71%29.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.423.413.6033.33%29.26%29.33%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV +3.42%E +0.963%K +1.34%G +0.046%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 13:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +0.506%E +0.147%K +0.206%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -6.71%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV +0.506%E +0.147%K +0.206%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68%EV -0.234%E -0.101%K -0.178%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.33%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:20
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:20
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.45%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.37%EV -0.951%E -0.280%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -1.74%E -0.490%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 17:19
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.67%EV -1.96%E -0.864%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.00%EV -2.70%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.32%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 08:14
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.99%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -2.70%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.43%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 14:50
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.69%EV -1.53%E -0.671%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:31
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 06:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 06:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 05:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 23:50
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 17:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:10
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.92%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 05:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 08:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 20:16
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 05:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -0.356%E -0.099%K -0.137%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 04:06
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:20
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:20
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.17%E -4.89%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.12%E -0.892%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 04:05
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 17:20
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -11.03%E -5.35%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 17:19
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -11.46%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 17:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.82%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 04:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75%EV -11.89%E -5.83%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 17:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.96%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 07:16
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-05-17 08:05