مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Sociedad v Real Betis

البداية: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Real Sociedad 2–2 Real Betis

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Sociedad (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.99%2.70السعر العادل
EV -1.97%
الأفضلية -0.743%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.06%37.02%37.04%38.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.522.502.6543.48%39.66%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Betis (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.69%2.80السعر العادل
EV -0.055%
الأفضلية -0.020%
Kelly -0.030%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.34%35.73%35.58%37.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.662.652.8041.67%37.66%37.74%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.31%3.66السعر العادل
EV +1.06%
الأفضلية +0.286%
Kelly +0.391%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.92%27.25%27.38%28.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.65%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%EV -3.82%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.70%EV -1.84%E -0.669%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%EV +1.06%E +0.286%K +0.391%G +0.004%1.9%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -1.84%E -0.669%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +1.06%E +0.286%K +0.391%G +0.004%2.6%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -1.84%E -0.669%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +1.06%E +0.286%K +0.391%G +0.004%2.6%2026-05-09 18:55
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -1.84%E -0.669%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +1.06%E +0.286%K +0.391%G +0.004%2.6%2026-05-09 18:55
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 18:49
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -8.26%E -3.33%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -8.26%E -3.33%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -8.26%E -3.33%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -8.26%E -3.33%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 18:54
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.57%EV -1.97%E -0.743%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -4.69%E -1.76%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -2.49%E -0.699%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.41%EV -1.97%E -0.743%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.41%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%EV -3.04%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 18:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.41%EV -1.97%E -0.743%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.41%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%EV -3.04%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 18:45
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.41%EV -1.97%E -0.743%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.41%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%EV -3.04%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.04%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.04%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:55
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.04%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:55
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -10.11%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.42%EV -6.12%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -3.04%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.58%EV -1.97%E -0.743%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.04%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.38%EV -3.31%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 18:55
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.90%EV -2.34%E -0.886%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -1.84%E -0.669%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 18:50
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -1.97%E -0.743%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 18:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 18:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 18:50
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 18:48
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:49
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.48%E -2.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:50
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.22%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 18:55
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.22%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 18:55
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.22%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 18:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -14.33%E -5.97%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV -3.82%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -0.055%E -0.020%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -3.08%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.48%E -2.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 18:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -6.78%E -2.69%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.87%EV -2.91%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 18:44
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 18:54
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.60%EV -4.56%E -1.77%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.04%EV -6.48%E -2.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 18:54
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -8.26%E -3.33%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.06%EV -6.12%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 18:53
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 18:50
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 18:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.82%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.82%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.48%E -2.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.48%E -2.47%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 18:50
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.37%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:54
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.19%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.67%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.84%E -0.669%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 18:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.52%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.62%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.92%E -6.49%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.33%E -5.97%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-09 18:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-09 18:55
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-09 18:54