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Real Sociedad v Espanyol

2026-08-29 17:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Sociedad (Local)

Prediction 50.06%2.00fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.96%49.90%50.16%51.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.871.861.9658.14%53.44%53.76%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Espanyol (Visit)

Prediction 23.94%4.18fair odd
EV -0.152%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.048%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.00%23.82%25.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.883.904.1728.17%25.78%25.64%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.432%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%26.10%26.02%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.563.523.8029.85%28.13%28.37%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Sociedad (Local): 50.06%; Espanyol (Visit): 23.94%; Draw: 26.00%. For Espanyol (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.17, with an expected value of -0.152%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -1.89%E -0.963%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 15:44
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.61%EV -0.152%E -0.036%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.318%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-23 15:59
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.46%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.91%EV -2.77%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.30%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.96%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 15:44
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:55
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.80%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 15:49
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 15:54
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:19
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:20
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 15:42
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.51%E -0.669%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:54
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -8.89%E -4.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24%EV -10.40%E -5.81%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -10.90%E -6.12%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.05%EV -13.90%E -8.08%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.25%EV -15.00%E -4.22%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-23 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-23 17:30
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 48.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%3.3%2026-08-23 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%4.6%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%4.6%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%4.6%2026-08-23 15:55
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%4.6%2026-08-23 17:35