默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Sociedad v Espanyol

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 17:03 UTC

最终结果: Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Sociedad (主队)

预测 51.15%1.95公平赔率
EV -2.81%
优势 -1.48%
Kelly -3.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
49.65%51.17%51.10%54.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.831.851.9057.80%54.59%54.05%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Espanyol (客队)

预测 23.21%4.31公平赔率
EV +9.08%
优势 +1.93%
Kelly +2.46%
增长率 +0.223%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
20.63%23.18%23.25%24.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.164.104.7027.78%24.07%24.39%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.64%3.90公平赔率
EV -0.008%
优势 -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.35%25.65%25.65%27.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.673.703.9029.41%27.21%27.03%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Real Sociedad (主队):51.15%;Espanyol (客队):23.21%;平局:25.64%。 对于“Espanyol (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.31。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.70,对应+9.08%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.90%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV +9.08%E +1.93%K +2.46%G +0.223%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV -1.29%E -0.335%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.90%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV +9.08%E +1.93%K +2.46%G +0.223%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV -1.29%E -0.335%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.90%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.76%EV +9.08%E +1.93%K +2.46%G +0.223%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV -1.29%E -0.335%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.18%EV -8.44%E -4.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV +9.08%E +1.93%K +2.46%G +0.223%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV -1.29%E -0.335%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -8.95%E -5.03%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +6.76%E +1.47%K +1.88%G +0.127%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 16:55
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +4.44%E +0.987%K +1.27%G +0.056%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +4.44%E +0.987%K +1.27%G +0.056%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -9.46%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +4.44%E +0.987%K +1.27%G +0.056%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12%EV -4.86%E -2.61%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%EV +2.12%E +0.482%K +0.624%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -10.48%E -5.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +2.12%E +0.482%K +0.624%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -10.48%E -5.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV +0.960%E +0.221%K +0.287%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -10.48%E -5.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV +0.960%E +0.221%K +0.287%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.89%EV -4.35%E -2.32%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%EV -0.200%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.32%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -0.200%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.61%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -0.200%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -0.200%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11%EV -11.51%E -6.65%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -0.200%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.34%EV -3.32%E -1.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.78%EV -1.13%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.76%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.67%EV -3.60%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.67%EV -3.60%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:40
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.18%EV -2.75%E -0.657%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.70%EV -3.08%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:50
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.21%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -3.68%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -4.35%E -2.32%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.49%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:54
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:52
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -11.55%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -11.55%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -3.83%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:24
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:50
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -5.88%E -3.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -8.95%E -5.03%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -5.88%E -3.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -16.45%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 16:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.75%-0.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-29 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-29 16:55
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-29 16:40