A Escola das Odds

Real Sociedad v Alavés

Início: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Sociedad (Local)

Previsão 50.53%1.98odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.74%50.61%50.59%51.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.861.871.9357.80%53.88%53.48%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alavés (Visitante)

Previsão 23.07%4.34odd justa
EV +1.96%
Vantagem +0.443%
Kelly +0.573%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.84%23.02%23.03%24.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.114.144.4227.03%24.30%24.15%22.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.41%3.79odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.403%
Kelly -0.551%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.12%26.37%26.38%27.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.563.603.7332.26%28.05%27.78%26.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.67%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.86%EV +1.96%E +0.443%K +0.573%G +0.011%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 11:50
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 11:50
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.31%EV -4.51%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -3.88%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:49
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +0.345%E +0.079%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.64%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:50
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:49
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:50
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:50
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:49
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:49
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.28%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%EV -2.65%E -0.629%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 11:45
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:49
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:49
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:49
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:50
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -10.06%E -5.65%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:49
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 11:49
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 11:50
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.44%EV -4.50%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -1.50%E -0.403%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 11:49
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.30%E -0.621%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -6.58%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.06%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:48
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 11:44
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:48
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:49
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -2.30%E -0.621%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:49
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:50
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:49
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:49
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:49
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.30%E -0.621%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 11:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:30
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:49
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -18.14%E -5.85%K -8.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -14.65%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.96%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-11 11:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%2.0%2026-04-11 11:50