Szkoła Kursów

Real Sociedad v Alavés

Początek: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Real Sociedad (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.53%1.98kurs godziwy
EV -2.49%
Przewaga -1.29%
Kelly -2.67%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.93

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.74%50.61%50.59%51.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.731.861.871.9357.80%53.88%53.48%51.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alavés (Goście)

Prognoza 23.07%4.34kurs godziwy
EV +1.96%
Przewaga +0.443%
Kelly +0.573%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.84%23.02%23.03%24.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.704.114.144.4227.03%24.30%24.15%22.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.41%3.79kurs godziwy
EV -1.50%
Przewaga -0.403%
Kelly -0.551%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.12%26.37%26.38%27.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.563.603.7332.26%28.05%27.78%26.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.67%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.86%EV +1.96%E +0.443%K +0.573%G +0.011%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 11:50
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 11:50
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.31%EV -4.51%E -2.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -3.88%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:49
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +1.50%E +0.341%K +0.441%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +0.345%E +0.079%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.64%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:50
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:49
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -0.808%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:50
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:50
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:49
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:49
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.28%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%EV -2.65%E -0.629%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 11:45
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 11:49
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:49
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:49
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:50
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -10.06%E -5.65%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.11%E -0.742%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:49
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 11:49
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 11:50
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.44%EV -4.50%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -1.50%E -0.403%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 11:49
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.30%E -0.621%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -6.58%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.06%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:48
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -3.62%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 11:44
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:48
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:49
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -2.30%E -0.621%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:49
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:50
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:49
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.62%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:49
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.90%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:49
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.30%E -0.621%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 11:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:30
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:50
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:49
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -18.14%E -5.85%K -8.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -14.65%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.96%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-04-11 11:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-11 11:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%2.0%2026-04-11 11:50