La scuola delle quote

Real Madrid v Getafe

Inizio: 2026-03-02 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Madrid (Casa)

Previsione 67.68%1.48quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -5.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.02%67.57%67.75%70.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.78%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Getafe (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.36%8.80quota equa
EV +19.28%
Vantaggio +1.84%
Kelly +2.03%
Crescita +0.391%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.27%11.39%11.36%14.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.408.598.5010.5015.63%11.64%11.76%9.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.96%4.77quota equa
EV +1.63%
Vantaggio +0.337%
Kelly +0.424%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.92%21.04%20.89%23.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.494.504.8526.67%22.27%22.22%20.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.56%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.27%EV +19.28%E +1.84%K +2.03%G +0.391%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 19:50
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-02 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.54%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-02 19:52
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.00%EV +1.63%E +0.337%K +0.424%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:49
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:49
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.03%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%9.83I 10.17%NM 9.90%EV +11.67%E +1.19%K +1.32%G +0.154%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.07%EV -3.19%E -0.690%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.15%EV +8.49%E +0.888%K +0.992%G +0.084%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -1.51%E -0.321%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.20%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:35
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:35
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 19:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-02 19:49
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.85%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.57%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.58%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-02 19:54
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.42%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.73%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 19:54
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.42%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.73%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 19:54
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.43%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.68%EV +3.37%E +0.371%K +0.416%G +0.014%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.90%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-02 19:34
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.92%EV -9.30%E -6.94%K -27.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.55%EV -0.603%E -0.069%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 19:54
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.45%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:44
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.76%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 19:25
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:50
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:54
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 19:49
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:49
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:49
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:49
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -6.28%E -0.762%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.09%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.63%EV -6.85%E -0.835%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.51%E -0.321%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:54
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.28%EV -7.99%E -0.986%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.01%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 19:24
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 19:50
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -16.18%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.75%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -21.42%E -5.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-02 19:29
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.56%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -10.26%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -6.75%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.56%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -10.26%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -6.75%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 19:53
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.62%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.21%EV -11.39%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 19:54
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.18%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 19:54
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 19:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-02 19:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 19:39
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 19:54
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:50
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -23.32%E -3.46%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -26.16%E -4.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -27.30%E -4.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -27.30%E -4.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:49
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:49