مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Madrid v Getafe

البداية: 2026-03-02 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.68%1.48السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -1.76%
Kelly -5.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.02%67.57%67.75%70.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.78%71.43%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Getafe (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.36%8.80السعر العادل
EV +19.28%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +2.03%
النمو +0.391%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.27%11.39%11.36%14.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.408.598.5010.5015.63%11.64%11.76%9.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.96%4.77السعر العادل
EV +1.63%
الأفضلية +0.337%
Kelly +0.424%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.92%21.04%20.89%23.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.494.504.8526.67%22.27%22.22%20.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.56%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.27%EV +19.28%E +1.84%K +2.03%G +0.391%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 19:50
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-02 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.54%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-02 19:52
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.00%EV +1.63%E +0.337%K +0.424%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:49
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:49
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.03%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%9.83I 10.17%NM 9.90%EV +11.67%E +1.19%K +1.32%G +0.154%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.07%EV -3.19%E -0.690%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.15%EV +8.49%E +0.888%K +0.992%G +0.084%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -1.51%E -0.321%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.20%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:35
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:35
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 19:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-02 19:49
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.85%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.57%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.58%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-02 19:54
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.42%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.73%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 19:54
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.42%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.73%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 19:54
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.43%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.68%EV +3.37%E +0.371%K +0.416%G +0.014%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.90%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-02 19:34
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.92%EV -9.30%E -6.94%K -27.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.55%EV -0.603%E -0.069%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 19:54
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.45%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:44
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.76%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 19:25
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:50
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:54
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 19:49
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:49
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:49
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:49
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -6.28%E -0.762%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.09%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.63%EV -6.85%E -0.835%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.51%E -0.321%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:54
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.28%EV -7.99%E -0.986%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.01%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 19:24
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 19:50
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -16.18%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.75%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -21.42%E -5.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-02 19:29
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.56%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -10.26%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -6.75%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.56%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -10.26%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -6.75%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 19:53
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.62%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.21%EV -11.39%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 19:54
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.18%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 19:54
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 19:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-02 19:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 19:39
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 19:54
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:50
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -23.32%E -3.46%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -26.16%E -4.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -27.30%E -4.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -27.30%E -4.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:49
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:49