L’École des cotes

Real Madrid v Getafe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-02 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Madrid (Local)

Prévision 67.68%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -5.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.02%67.57%67.75%70.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.78%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.36%8.80cote équitable
EV +19.28%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +2.03%
Croissance +0.391%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.27%11.39%11.36%14.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.408.598.5010.5015.63%11.64%11.76%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.96%4.77cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.337%
Kelly +0.424%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.92%21.04%20.89%23.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.494.504.8526.67%22.27%22.22%20.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.56%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.27%EV +19.28%E +1.84%K +2.03%G +0.391%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 19:50
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-02 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.54%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-02 19:52
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.30%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.00%EV +1.63%E +0.337%K +0.424%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:49
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +13.60%E +1.36%K +1.51%G +0.205%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:49
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.03%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%9.83I 10.17%NM 9.90%EV +11.67%E +1.19%K +1.32%G +0.154%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.07%EV -3.19%E -0.690%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.15%EV +8.49%E +0.888%K +0.992%G +0.084%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -1.51%E -0.321%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.20%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 19:35
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:35
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:34
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 19:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +7.92%E +0.833%K +0.931%G +0.074%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-02 19:49
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.85%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.57%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.58%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-02 19:54
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.42%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.73%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 19:54
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.42%EV +5.08%E +0.549%K +0.615%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.73%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 19:54
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.43%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.68%EV +3.37%E +0.371%K +0.416%G +0.014%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.90%EV -2.56%E -0.550%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-02 19:34
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -0.462%E -0.097%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.12%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.92%EV -9.30%E -6.94%K -27.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.55%EV -0.603%E -0.069%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 19:54
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.45%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:44
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.76%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 19:25
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:50
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 19:54
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.20%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 19:49
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:49
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -7.95%E -5.84%K -22.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:49
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.90%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.44%E -0.405%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:49
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -6.28%E -0.762%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.09%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.63%EV -6.85%E -0.835%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.51%E -0.321%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 19:54
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.64%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.28%EV -7.99%E -0.986%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.01%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 19:24
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 19:50
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -16.18%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.75%EV -9.98%E -7.50%K -30.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -21.42%E -5.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-02 19:29
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.56%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -10.26%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -6.75%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 19:54
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.56%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -10.26%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -6.75%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 19:53
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.62%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.21%EV -11.39%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 19:54
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.18%EV -4.56%E -3.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 19:54
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 19:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-02 19:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 19:39
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 19:54
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -20.48%E -2.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.80%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:50
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -23.32%E -3.46%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -26.16%E -4.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -27.30%E -4.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -27.30%E -4.27%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:49
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.40%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-03-02 19:49