A Escola das Odds

Real Madrid v Elche CF

Início: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Madrid (Local)

Previsão 74.35%1.34odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -8.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.12%74.44%74.32%76.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.261.271.3181.97%79.07%78.74%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elche CF (Visitante)

Previsão 10.04%9.96odd justa
EV +10.41%
Vantagem +0.946%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.108%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.60%9.98%10.03%11.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.009.559.5011.0012.50%10.47%10.53%9.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 15.61%6.41odd justa
EV +5.37%
Vantagem +0.796%
Kelly +0.934%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.37%15.58%15.65%17.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.136.056.7520.00%16.32%16.53%14.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +10.41%E +0.946%K +1.04%G +0.108%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.68%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.94%EV +7.90%E +0.735%K +0.810%G +0.064%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:55
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV -1.97%E -0.313%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%3.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:55
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:55
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.27%EV +4.39%E +0.422%K +0.467%G +0.020%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.7%2026-03-14 19:55
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%1.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.89%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%2.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.89%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%2.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 18:38
Parions Sport (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:50
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:50
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 18:40
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:55
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.03%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 76.03%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.08%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.78%EV -0.630%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 18:44
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.07%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.68%EV -1.13%E -0.115%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.63%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.57I 10.45%NM 10.06%EV -3.94%E -0.412%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.31%EV -1.81%E -0.288%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:54
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-14 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 18:55
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 19:55
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:55
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -9.29%E -7.62%K -42.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -7.15%E -0.773%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:34
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.15%E -0.773%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.17%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -7.66%E -0.832%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.43%EV -3.21%E -0.518%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -9.29%E -7.62%K -42.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.95%E -4.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 19:07
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.20%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.20%EV -10.17%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.60%EV -8.68%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.67%EV -10.67%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -5.56%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -2.60%E -1.98%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 18:49
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.62%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:50
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -19.70%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -19.70%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86%0.9%2026-03-14 19:55