L’École des cotes

Real Madrid v Elche CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Madrid (Local)

Prévision 74.35%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -8.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.12%74.44%74.32%76.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.271.3181.97%79.07%78.74%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elche CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.04%9.96cote équitable
EV +10.41%
Avantage +0.946%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.60%9.98%10.03%11.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.009.559.5011.0012.50%10.47%10.53%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.61%6.41cote équitable
EV +5.37%
Avantage +0.796%
Kelly +0.934%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.37%15.58%15.65%17.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.136.056.7520.00%16.32%16.53%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +10.41%E +0.946%K +1.04%G +0.108%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.68%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.94%EV +7.90%E +0.735%K +0.810%G +0.064%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:55
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV -1.97%E -0.313%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%3.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:55
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:55
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.27%EV +4.39%E +0.422%K +0.467%G +0.020%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.7%2026-03-14 19:55
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%1.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.89%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%2.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.89%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%2.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 18:38
Parions Sport (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:50
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:50
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 18:40
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:55
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.03%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 76.03%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.08%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.78%EV -0.630%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 18:44
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.07%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.68%EV -1.13%E -0.115%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.63%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.57I 10.45%NM 10.06%EV -3.94%E -0.412%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.31%EV -1.81%E -0.288%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:54
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-14 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 18:55
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 19:55
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:55
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -9.29%E -7.62%K -42.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -7.15%E -0.773%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:34
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.15%E -0.773%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.17%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -7.66%E -0.832%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.43%EV -3.21%E -0.518%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -9.29%E -7.62%K -42.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.95%E -4.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 19:07
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.20%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.20%EV -10.17%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.60%EV -8.68%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.67%EV -10.67%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -5.56%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -2.60%E -1.98%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 18:49
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.62%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:50
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -19.70%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -19.70%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86%0.9%2026-03-14 19:55