مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Madrid v Elche CF

البداية: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.35%1.34السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -1.98%
Kelly -8.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.12%74.44%74.32%76.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.261.271.3181.97%79.07%78.74%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elche CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.04%9.96السعر العادل
EV +10.41%
الأفضلية +0.946%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.108%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.60%9.98%10.03%11.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.009.559.5011.0012.50%10.47%10.53%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.61%6.41السعر العادل
EV +5.37%
الأفضلية +0.796%
Kelly +0.934%
النمو +0.050%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.37%15.58%15.65%17.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.136.056.7520.00%16.32%16.53%14.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +10.41%E +0.946%K +1.04%G +0.108%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.68%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.94%EV +7.90%E +0.735%K +0.810%G +0.064%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:55
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV -1.97%E -0.313%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%3.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:55
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV +5.39%E +0.514%K +0.568%G +0.031%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -7.90%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 19:55
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.27%EV +4.39%E +0.422%K +0.467%G +0.020%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%3.7%2026-03-14 19:55
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.61%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%1.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.89%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%2.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.89%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.71%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.39%EV +5.37%E +0.796%K +0.934%G +0.050%2.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.09%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 18:38
Parions Sport (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.03%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.60%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 19:50
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.4%2026-03-14 19:55
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:50
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 18:40
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:55
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.03%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 76.03%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.374%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.08%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.78%EV -0.630%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV -0.092%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 18:44
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.07%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.68%EV -1.13%E -0.115%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.63%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.57I 10.45%NM 10.06%EV -3.94%E -0.412%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.31%EV -1.81%E -0.288%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:54
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.83%E -3.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-14 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.47%E +0.226%K +0.267%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 18:55
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 19:55
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.80%E -6.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:55
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -9.29%E -7.62%K -42.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.65%E -0.489%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -7.15%E -0.773%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:34
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -7.15%E -0.773%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.24%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.17%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -7.66%E -0.832%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.43%EV -3.21%E -0.518%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:50
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -9.29%E -7.62%K -42.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -9.66%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.95%E -4.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 19:07
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.20%EV -8.55%E -6.95%K -37.16%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.20%EV -10.17%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.60%EV -8.68%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -4.09%E -3.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.67%EV -10.67%E -1.20%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -5.56%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -2.60%E -1.98%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 18:49
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -5.57%E -4.39%K -20.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.43%E -0.389%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.62%EV -6.32%E -5.01%K -24.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.34%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:50
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.06%E -5.65%K -28.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.68%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -14.14%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -19.70%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -3.34%E -2.57%K -11.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -19.70%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -9.46%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 76.20%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%0.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86%0.9%2026-03-14 19:55