La scuola delle quote

Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid

Inizio: 2026-03-22 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Madrid (Casa)

Previsione 47.10%2.12quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.523%
Kelly -0.998%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.80%47.09%47.06%48.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.002.002.1052.36%49.88%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.28%3.54quota equa
EV +4.93%
Vantaggio +1.33%
Kelly +1.82%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.14%28.22%28.23%29.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.353.353.7132.26%29.83%29.85%26.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.62%4.06quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.255%
Kelly -0.339%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.74%24.68%24.70%27.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.793.804.0232.26%26.40%26.32%24.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.99%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.14%EV +4.93%E +1.33%K +1.82%G +0.090%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 48.11%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.98%EV +2.38%E +0.658%K +0.910%G +0.022%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.91%EV -3.49%E -0.889%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 19:50
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -1.10%E -0.523%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-22 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -2.51%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 19:55
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -2.51%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 19:54
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 19:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.35%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.632%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 19:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -1.52%E -0.379%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.57%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -1.02%E -0.255%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 19:54
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.57%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -1.02%E -0.255%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 19:55
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:54
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:55
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -7.22%E -3.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 19:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -1.57%E -0.751%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.70%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.75%EV -3.24%E -0.824%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 19:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.63%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 19:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:49
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:55
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:54
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.52%E -0.379%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:55
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:54
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:53
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:50
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 19:44
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:54
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:50
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.22%E -3.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 19:54
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 19:49
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 19:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:50
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 19:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:54
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:54
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -23.68%E -7.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-22 19:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-03-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-22 19:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-03-22 19:45