L’École des cotes

Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Madrid (Local)

Prévision 47.10%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.523%
Kelly -0.998%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.80%47.09%47.06%48.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.002.002.1052.36%49.88%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Madrid (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV +4.93%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.82%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.14%28.22%28.23%29.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.7132.26%29.83%29.85%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.62%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.255%
Kelly -0.339%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.74%24.68%24.70%27.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.793.804.0232.26%26.40%26.32%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.99%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.14%EV +4.93%E +1.33%K +1.82%G +0.090%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 48.11%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.98%EV +2.38%E +0.658%K +0.910%G +0.022%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.91%EV -3.49%E -0.889%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 19:50
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.45%EV -1.10%E -0.523%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-22 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -2.51%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 19:55
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -2.51%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 19:54
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 19:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.35%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.632%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 19:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -1.52%E -0.379%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.57%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -1.02%E -0.255%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 19:54
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.57%EV -4.39%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -1.02%E -0.255%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 19:55
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.80%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:54
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:55
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -7.22%E -3.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 19:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -1.57%E -0.751%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.70%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.75%EV -3.24%E -0.824%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 19:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.63%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 19:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:49
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:55
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:54
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.52%E -0.379%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:55
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:54
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:53
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:50
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 19:44
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:54
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.36%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:50
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:50
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.22%E -3.67%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 19:54
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 19:49
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 19:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.44%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:50
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.90%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 19:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:54
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.13%E -2.78%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 19:54
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -23.68%E -7.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-22 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-03-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-03-22 19:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-22 19:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-03-22 19:45