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Real Betis v Real Sociedad

2026-08-21 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Betis (Local)

Prediction 43.50%2.30fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%43.65%43.20%45.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2150.00%47.59%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Sociedad (Visit)

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV +3.56%
Edge +0.961%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%27.88%27.92%28.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.7133.33%29.58%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV +0.319%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.127%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%28.47%28.87%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.5132.79%30.47%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Betis (Local): 43.50%; Real Sociedad (Visit): 27.91%; Draw: 28.58%. For Real Sociedad (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.71, producing a positive expected value of +3.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.39%EV -5.60%E -2.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.55%EV +3.56%E +0.961%K +1.32%G +0.047%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.06%EV +0.319%E +0.091%K +0.127%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-02 11:04
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.82%E -0.831%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 11:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:45
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.11%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 11:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.82%E -0.831%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:05
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.82%E -0.831%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:04
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 11:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.82%E -0.831%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 11:05
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:04
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:09
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 13:54
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 11:49
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.77%EV -10.11%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.03%EV -11.97%E -3.89%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 13:53
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.06%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -16.26%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -12.83%E -4.21%K -6.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.86%2.76I 36.23%NM 31.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%13.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.86%2.76I 36.23%NM 31.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%13.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 37.98%2.76I 36.23%NM 29.72%2.54I 39.37%NM 32.30%21.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 39.22%1.56I 64.10%NM 36.96%2.42I 41.32%NM 23.82%73.5%2026-08-02 13:20