默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Betis v Real Sociedad

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Real Betis 1–0 Real Sociedad

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Betis (主队)

预测 44.54%2.25公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.502%
Kelly -0.913%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
43.42%44.61%44.52%46.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.112.102.2248.78%47.30%47.62%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Real Sociedad (客队)

预测 27.83%3.59公平赔率
EV +0.199%
优势 +0.055%
Kelly +0.077%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.59%27.82%27.89%28.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.413.403.6031.25%29.36%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV -1.94%
优势 -0.546%
Kelly -0.759%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.83%27.58%27.60%28.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.423.403.5530.77%29.28%29.41%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Real Betis (主队):44.54%;Real Sociedad (客队):27.83%;平局:27.62%。 对于“Real Sociedad (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.59。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.60,对应+0.199%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.40%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.11%EV +0.199%E +0.055%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -1.94%E -0.546%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.40%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.11%EV +0.199%E +0.055%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -1.94%E -0.546%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.40%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.11%EV +0.199%E +0.055%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -1.94%E -0.546%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.69%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV +0.199%E +0.055%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 18:42
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV +0.199%E +0.055%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV -1.94%E -0.546%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 18:40
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -7.35%E -3.53%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -0.636%E -0.178%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -5.53%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:24
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -1.19%E -0.336%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -1.19%E -0.336%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV -2.58%E -0.738%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.39%EV -2.21%E -0.625%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.51%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -2.58%E -0.738%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 18:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.58%E -0.738%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.58%E -0.738%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:45
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.58%E -0.738%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:44
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.58%E -0.738%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.58%E -0.738%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 18:54
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -4.25%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -3.04%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -4.25%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.54%EV -3.04%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.59%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.91%EV -6.63%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:44
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -1.11%E -0.502%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.87%EV -1.56%E -0.705%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -3.04%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 18:45
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:49
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:48
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 18:29
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 18:40
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 18:29
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 18:45
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:44
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -8.24%E -4.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -8.24%E -4.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:29
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:29
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 18:54
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 18:44
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.22%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 18:50
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 18:24
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 18:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-08-21 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-21 18:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-21 18:55
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.1%2026-08-21 18:50