Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Betis v Real Madrid

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Betis (Local)

Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -0.833%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.292%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%25.79%25.85%27.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.673.703.8530.30%27.22%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Madrid (Visit)

Prediction 51.17%1.95fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.55%51.10%51.11%52.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.841.9357.47%54.24%54.35%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.07%4.33fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%23.11%23.04%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.074.104.3230.30%24.60%24.39%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Betis (Local): 25.76%; Real Madrid (Visit): 51.17%; Draw: 23.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.32, with an expected value of -0.317%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.08%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.38%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:05
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:05
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:00
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:59
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:59
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:45
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.94%EV -2.64%E -0.697%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -6.88%E -3.78%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:04
1xBet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 26.19%EV -3.15%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -1.25%E -0.646%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.79%EV -0.317%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.83%E -2.60%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.85%E -3.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:03
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:04
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -0.317%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -0.317%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 18:09
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV -1.24%E -0.290%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 02:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 21:39
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.27%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:30
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:05
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Sky Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:00
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.41%E -4.70%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:02
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:00
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:00
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:15
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:05
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:30
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Everygame🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 05:39
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:59
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:05
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 09:35
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -5.85%E -3.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:19
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:47
Fliff🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.97%E -6.30%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 01:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.97%E -6.30%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -23.85%E -7.23%K -10.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 19:38
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-04-24 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-04-24 03:15