La escuela de los momios

Real Betis v Real Madrid

Inicio: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Predicción 25.76%3.88momio equitativo
EV -0.833%
Ventaja -0.216%
Kelly -0.292%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.84%25.79%25.85%27.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.673.703.8530.30%27.22%27.03%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Real Madrid (Visitante)

Predicción 51.17%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.55%51.10%51.11%52.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.841.841.9357.47%54.24%54.35%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.07%4.33momio equitativo
EV -0.317%
Ventaja -0.073%
Kelly -0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.06%23.11%23.04%26.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.074.104.3230.30%24.60%24.39%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:59
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.85%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.08%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.38%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:05
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:05
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:00
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:59
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:59
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:45
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 24.94%EV -2.64%E -0.697%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -6.88%E -3.78%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:04
1xBet3.76I 26.60%NM 26.19%EV -3.15%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -1.25%E -0.646%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.79%EV -0.317%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.83%E -2.60%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.85%E -3.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:03
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:04
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:04
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -0.317%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 18:09
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -4.18%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.36%EV -0.317%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 18:09
Pinnacle3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -4.44%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.57%EV -1.24%E -0.290%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 02:55
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.01%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -1.93%E -0.455%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 21:39
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.27%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:30
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:05
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:20
Sky Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:00
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:59
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.41%E -4.70%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:02
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:00
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:00
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:15
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:05
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:30
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:54
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 05:39
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:00
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:59
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.34%E -2.89%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:05
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.17%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 09:35
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -5.85%E -3.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:19
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -6.36%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:39
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.96%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:47
Fliff3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 02:09
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.97%E -6.30%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 01:59
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.97%E -6.30%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -2.78%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.964%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -23.85%E -7.23%K -10.37%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 19:38
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-04-24 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-04-24 03:15