Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Betis v Oviedo

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 16:30 UTC

Final: Real Betis 3–0 Oviedo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Betis (Local)

Prediction 61.00%1.64fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.35%60.94%61.07%62.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.551.6167.57%64.83%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oviedo (Visit)

Prediction 15.93%6.28fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +0.549%
Kelly +0.649%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.63%15.98%15.89%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.956.006.5018.52%16.80%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.07%4.34fair odd
EV -0.811%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.08%23.04%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.084.104.3029.41%24.51%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Betis (Local): 61.00%; Oviedo (Visit): 15.93%; Draw: 23.07%. For Oviedo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.28. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV +3.57%E +0.549%K +0.649%G +0.023%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.75%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 15:40
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +3.57%E +0.549%K +0.649%G +0.023%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.93%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.08%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.08%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.72%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.29%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.37%EV +0.383%E +0.061%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 04:55
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:40
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:39
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.67%EV -1.69%E -0.274%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.13%EV -3.58%E -0.856%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.70%EV -2.01%E -0.326%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.82%EV -2.43%E -0.573%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.70%EV -2.01%E -0.326%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.82%EV -2.43%E -0.573%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 15:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.21%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.78%EV -3.60%E -0.595%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -0.811%E -0.189%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.30%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 15:25
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:23
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:25
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:26
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:26
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:26
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.11%E -6.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:36
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.99%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -5.99%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:24
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.31%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%EV -6.31%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.17%EV -3.35%E -0.799%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.32%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.72%E -6.57%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.89%EV -9.18%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 08:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 08:44
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 05:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -21.57%E -6.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.96%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 08:46
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.96%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 08:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -13.96%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.64%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%0.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.21%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.21%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-03 16:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-05-03 16:10
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-05-03 16:25