La escuela de los momios

Real Betis v Oviedo

Inicio: 2026-05-03 16:30 UTC

Final: Real Betis 3–0 Oviedo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Predicción 61.00%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.35%60.94%61.07%62.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.551.6167.57%64.83%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oviedo (Visitante)

Predicción 15.93%6.28momio equitativo
EV +3.57%
Ventaja +0.549%
Kelly +0.649%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.63%15.98%15.89%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.405.956.006.5018.52%16.80%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.07%4.34momio equitativo
EV -0.811%
Ventaja -0.189%
Kelly -0.246%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%23.08%23.04%25.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.084.104.3029.41%24.51%24.39%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV +3.57%E +0.549%K +0.649%G +0.023%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.75%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 15:40
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +3.57%E +0.549%K +0.649%G +0.023%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 15:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.93%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-03 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.08%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 15:39
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.08%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.13%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 15:40
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.72%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +1.98%E +0.309%K +0.366%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 16:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.29%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.37%EV +0.383%E +0.061%K +0.072%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 04:55
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:40
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:40
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:39
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -0.413%E -0.066%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:39
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.67%EV -1.69%E -0.274%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.13%EV -3.58%E -0.856%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 16:25
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.70%EV -2.01%E -0.326%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.82%EV -2.43%E -0.573%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 15:05
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.70%EV -2.01%E -0.326%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.82%EV -2.43%E -0.573%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 15:05
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:36
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -2.80%E -0.460%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 15:40
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.21%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.78%EV -3.60%E -0.595%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 16:00
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -0.811%E -0.189%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:25
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.30%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 15:25
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:23
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 16:25
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:25
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:26
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:26
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:09
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 15:24
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:26
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.11%E -6.12%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.40%E -0.733%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:36
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.99%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.60%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -5.99%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:24
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.31%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%EV -6.31%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.17%EV -3.35%E -0.799%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 16:25
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:05
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:25
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 60.32%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:25
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 15:40
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.38%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.72%E -6.57%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.89%EV -9.18%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 08:46
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 10:35
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 08:44
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:01
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.23%E -2.70%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 05:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -12.36%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -21.57%E -6.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.96%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 08:46
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -13.96%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 08:46
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -13.96%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.64%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%0.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.21%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.21%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-03 16:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-05-03 16:10
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-05-03 16:25