La scuola delle quote

Real Betis v Celta Vigo

Inizio: 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Betis (Casa)

Previsione 46.70%2.14quota equa
EV -1.93%
Vantaggio -0.918%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.14%46.71%46.66%47.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.032.042.1052.36%49.34%49.02%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celta Vigo (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.13%3.98quota equa
EV -0.470%
Vantaggio -0.119%
Kelly -0.159%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.20%25.16%25.09%26.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.733.753.9630.30%26.78%26.67%25.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.17%3.55quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.406%
Kelly -0.569%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.18%28.13%28.26%28.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.94%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57%EV -1.93%E -0.918%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.45%EV -2.40%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -0.721%E -0.183%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.81%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 16:35
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.81%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 16:35
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.73%EV -1.48%E -0.376%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.68%EV -4.80%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:25
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.47%EV -0.470%E -0.119%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:20
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.93%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.48%EV -4.80%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:18
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.17%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.66%EV -0.972%E -0.247%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.69%EV -2.48%E -0.639%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 14:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.42%E -0.406%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 17:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:50
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:20
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 17:20
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 17:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:25
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 17:24
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 17:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:25
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:35
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:19
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.77%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.77%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -8.00%E -4.06%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.96%EV -8.00%E -4.06%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.60%EV -8.47%E -4.32%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:25
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -8.47%E -4.32%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 17:10
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.80%E -5.66%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.50%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-03-15 17:25