L’École des cotes

Real Betis v Celta Vigo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 46.70%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.918%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.14%46.71%46.66%47.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.042.1052.36%49.34%49.02%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Celta Vigo (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV -0.470%
Avantage -0.119%
Kelly -0.159%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.16%25.09%26.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.753.9630.30%26.78%26.67%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.17%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.406%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.18%28.13%28.26%28.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.94%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57%EV -1.93%E -0.918%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.45%EV -2.40%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -0.721%E -0.183%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.81%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 16:35
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.81%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-15 16:35
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.73%EV -1.48%E -0.376%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.68%EV -4.80%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:25
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.47%EV -0.470%E -0.119%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:20
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.93%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.48%EV -4.80%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:18
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.17%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.66%EV -0.972%E -0.247%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.69%EV -2.48%E -0.639%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 14:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.42%E -0.406%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 17:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:50
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:20
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.73%E -2.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 17:20
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 17:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -2.83%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:25
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 17:24
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 17:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:25
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:35
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:19
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.77%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.60%E -3.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.77%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -8.00%E -4.06%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.96%EV -8.00%E -4.06%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.60%EV -8.47%E -4.32%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:25
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -8.47%E -4.32%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 17:10
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.80%E -5.66%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.50%E -5.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-03-15 17:25