Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 3.07
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 34.34%; Getafe (Visit): 33.15%; Draw: 32.51%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.07, with an expected value of -0.200%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -0.402%E -0.139%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -0.557%E -0.186%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -0.402%E -0.139%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -0.557%E -0.186%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%EV -1.09%E -0.378%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.88%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.89%EV -1.09%E -0.378%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.45%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.08%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.08%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -2.55%E -0.866%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -12.23%E -4.53%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -12.23%E -4.53%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.91%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.36%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.73%EV -0.200%E -0.065%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.79%EV -1.18%E -0.387%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.79%EV -1.18%E -0.387%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.36%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.36%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.46%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.10%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.97%EV -4.87%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.63%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.21%E -0.751%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -13.85%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -13.85%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -13.85%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.68%EV -6.24%E -2.29%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.10%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 08:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.15%EV -4.75%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -18.73%E -7.49%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74% | 0.1% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.12% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.12% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |