La escuela de los momios

Oviedo v Getafe

Inicio: 2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

Final: Oviedo 0–0 Getafe

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Predicción 34.34%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.402%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.211%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.89%34.24%34.40%35.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.10%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Getafe (Visitante)

Predicción 33.15%3.02momio equitativo
EV -0.557%
Ventaja -0.186%
Kelly -0.278%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.28%33.13%33.11%34.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.862.873.0037.04%34.99%34.84%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.51%3.08momio equitativo
EV -0.200%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.42%32.63%32.49%35.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.862.883.0740.00%34.98%34.72%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -0.402%E -0.139%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -0.557%E -0.186%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 16:19
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -0.402%E -0.139%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -0.557%E -0.186%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 16:19
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%EV -1.09%E -0.378%K -0.579%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.88%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 16:20
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.89%EV -1.09%E -0.378%K -0.579%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.45%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 16:19
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 16:19
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.95%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 16:09
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:20
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.12%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:19
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.08%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 16:19
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.08%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 16:19
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -2.55%E -0.866%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 16:19
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:19
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:19
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 16:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:50
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 16:19
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -12.23%E -4.53%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 16:19
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -12.23%E -4.53%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:19
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.91%EV -4.18%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.36%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.73%EV -0.200%E -0.065%K -0.097%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 16:20
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.79%EV -1.18%E -0.387%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 16:19
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.79%EV -1.18%E -0.387%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 16:09
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.36%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 16:09
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.36%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 16:19
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:19
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.46%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.10%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 16:19
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.97%EV -4.87%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.63%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 16:19
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:19
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -2.21%E -0.751%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 16:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 16:19
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 16:19
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 16:09
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 16:09
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:09
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -13.85%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 16:19
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -13.85%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 16:19
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -13.85%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 16:20
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 34.68%EV -6.24%E -2.29%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.10%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 16:13
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:19
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 08:34
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 16:20
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:09
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -2.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.15%EV -4.75%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 16:18
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -18.73%E -7.49%K -12.49%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-10 16:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.74%0.1%2026-05-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-05-10 16:20
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-05-10 16:19