Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.47
assuming max odds 3.15
assuming max odds 3.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 39.59%; Elche CF (Visit): 32.51%; Draw: 27.90%. For Elche CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.73%E -4.27%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.20%E -0.892%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%EV -2.80%E -0.937%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 27.15%EV +1.27%E +0.350%K +0.483%G +0.006% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.36%E -0.673%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-14 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-14 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.92%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV -4.43%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -0.124%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 02:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.68%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +1.55%E +0.426%K +0.587%G +0.009% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.68%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +1.55%E +0.426%K +0.587%G +0.009% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -0.682%E -0.191%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.54%EV -8.00%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -0.961%E -0.271%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.54%EV -8.00%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -0.961%E -0.271%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.05%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.13%EV -9.95%E -3.59%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 21:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |