La escuela de los momios

Oviedo v Elche CF

Inicio: 2026-04-26 14:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Predicción 39.59%2.53momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.892%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.13%39.68%39.70%41.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.382.4745.45%42.40%42.02%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elche CF (Visitante)

Predicción 32.51%3.08momio equitativo
EV +2.40%
Ventaja +0.762%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.51%32.45%32.44%33.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.903.1536.36%34.17%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV +1.55%
Ventaja +0.426%
Kelly +0.587%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.55%27.87%27.85%30.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.303.6434.72%29.90%30.30%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 16:30
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 16:30
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +2.40%E +0.762%K +1.12%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 16:30
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:30
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:30
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:30
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.69%EV -7.75%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV +0.775%E +0.250%K +0.369%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 16:30
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 16:29
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 16:30
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 16:30
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -0.850%E -0.279%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 16:30
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.73%E -4.27%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 16:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -2.48%E -0.825%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 16:29
1xBet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.20%E -0.892%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%EV -2.80%E -0.937%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 27.15%EV +1.27%E +0.350%K +0.483%G +0.006%1.5%2026-04-24 01:40
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:40
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.36%E -0.673%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:55
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-14 16:29
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.89%E -5.86%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -4.10%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -12.12%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-14 16:30
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.92%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV -4.43%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -0.124%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 01:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:30
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:54
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 02:29
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:44
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:55
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.33%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.73%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 02:28
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:50
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:39
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:55
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -6.38%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 21:54
LowVig.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.68%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +1.55%E +0.426%K +0.587%G +0.009%3.5%2026-04-23 21:40
BetOnline.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.68%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV +1.55%E +0.426%K +0.587%G +0.009%3.5%2026-04-23 21:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:45
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:40
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:39
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.54%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -0.682%E -0.191%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:55
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.54%EV -8.00%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -0.961%E -0.271%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:51
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 39.72%EV -5.37%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.54%EV -8.00%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -0.961%E -0.271%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:49
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 00:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:54
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.77%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.05%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.13%EV -9.95%E -3.59%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:52
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.54%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:49
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.15%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:39
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:35
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.94%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.60%E -3.86%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 21:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-24 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-24 02:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-24 02:25
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-24 02:25
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%2.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-23 21:45