La scuola delle quote

Oviedo v Alavés

Inizio: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Finale: Oviedo 0–1 Alavés

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Oviedo (Casa)

Previsione 24.96%4.01quota equa
EV -0.157%
Vantaggio -0.039%
Kelly -0.052%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.88%25.04%24.95%26.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.773.804.0028.57%26.50%26.32%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alavés (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.52%2.10quota equa
EV -0.209%
Vantaggio -0.099%
Kelly -0.190%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.14%47.54%47.47%49.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.961.972.1054.64%51.01%50.76%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.52%3.63quota equa
EV +0.447%
Vantaggio +0.122%
Kelly +0.169%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.20%27.42%27.59%29.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:56
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:56
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.73%EV -0.656%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.78%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -2.31%E -0.649%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.65%E -0.680%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.76%EV -3.54%E -1.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.39%EV -2.58%E -0.729%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.06%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.51%EV -3.41%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 08:00
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -0.209%E -0.099%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV -2.65%E -0.680%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:20
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:35
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.82%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.23%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.96%EV -4.23%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -4.49%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 08:05
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 07:15
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 07:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:15
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 11:19
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.06%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:16
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -17.44%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 07:56
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40