L’École des cotes

Oviedo v Alavés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Oviedo 0–1 Alavés

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 24.96%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.157%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.052%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.88%25.04%24.95%26.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.773.804.0028.57%26.50%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alavés (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.52%2.10cote équitable
EV -0.209%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.190%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.14%47.54%47.47%49.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.972.1054.64%51.01%50.76%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV +0.447%
Avantage +0.122%
Kelly +0.169%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.20%27.42%27.59%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:56
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:56
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.73%EV -0.656%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.78%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -2.31%E -0.649%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.65%E -0.680%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.76%EV -3.54%E -1.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.39%EV -2.58%E -0.729%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.06%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.51%EV -3.41%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 08:00
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -0.209%E -0.099%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV -2.65%E -0.680%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:20
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:35
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.82%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.23%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.96%EV -4.23%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -4.49%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 08:05
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 07:15
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 07:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:15
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 11:19
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.06%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:16
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -17.44%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 07:56
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40