La escuela de los momios

Oviedo v Alavés

Inicio: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Final: Oviedo 0–1 Alavés

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oviedo (Local)

Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.157%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.052%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.88%25.04%24.95%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.773.804.0028.57%26.50%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alavés (Visitante)

Predicción 47.52%2.10momio equitativo
EV -0.209%
Ventaja -0.099%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.14%47.54%47.47%49.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.972.1054.64%51.01%50.76%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV +0.447%
Ventaja +0.122%
Kelly +0.169%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.20%27.42%27.59%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -0.157%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV +0.447%E +0.122%K +0.169%G +0.001%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -5.44%E -2.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:56
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -1.41%E -0.356%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -10.19%E -5.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -0.929%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:56
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.73%EV -0.656%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.78%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -2.31%E -0.649%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -2.65%E -0.680%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.76%EV -3.54%E -1.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.39%EV -2.58%E -0.729%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -4.15%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.34%EV -3.06%E -1.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.51%EV -3.41%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 08:00
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -0.209%E -0.099%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%EV -2.65%E -0.680%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:20
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:35
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.82%EV -2.15%E -0.549%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.23%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.96%EV -4.23%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -4.49%E -2.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 08:05
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 07:15
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 07:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:15
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.15%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 11:19
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -12.09%E -6.53%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.06%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -12.56%E -6.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:16
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -17.44%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 07:56
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40