默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mallorca v Real Sociedad

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mallorca (主队)

预测 30.57%3.27公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.489%
Kelly -0.709%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.22

博彩公司预测分布
29.49%30.57%30.60%31.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.083.103.2234.72%32.47%32.26%31.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

Real Sociedad (客队)

预测 40.09%2.49公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -0.727%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
39.03%40.11%40.09%41.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.43%42.55%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.34%3.41公平赔率
EV -0.820%
优势 -0.243%
Kelly -0.344%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.38

博彩公司预测分布
28.29%29.32%29.31%30.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.213.203.3835.71%31.20%31.25%29.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Mallorca (主队):30.57%;Real Sociedad (客队):40.09%;平局:29.34%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.41。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.38,期望值为-0.820%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -1.57%E -0.489%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -1.57%E -0.489%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Pinnacle🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 30.31%EV -1.88%E -0.585%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.38%EV -3.38%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.31%EV -2.58%E -0.777%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -1.78%E -0.727%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 17:04
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -1.78%E -0.727%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -2.58%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -2.58%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.19%EV -3.38%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.19%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:09
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.47%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.99%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:24
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:45
Everygame🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -4.32%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.10%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:09
Bovada🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.38%EV -4.63%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:22
Unibet (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.29%EV -4.63%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.91%EV -7.39%E -3.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.81%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:09
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:22
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:14
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 05:24
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:15
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:04
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:04
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:04
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.59%E -2.83%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:04
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.51%EV -5.85%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78%EV -2.18%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.71%EV -0.820%E -0.243%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:19
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:09
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:09
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:19
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:24
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.99%E -3.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:19
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.80%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.83%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.83%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:35
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.83%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -11.97%E -4.16%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.80%E -5.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -17.84%E -6.37%K -9.91%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 17:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-02-28 17:25
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-28 17:25
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%1.3%2026-02-28 17:24