L’École des cotes

Mallorca v Real Sociedad

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mallorca (Local)

Prévision 30.57%3.27cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -0.709%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.49%30.57%30.60%31.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.083.103.2234.72%32.47%32.26%31.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Sociedad (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.09%2.49cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.727%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.03%40.11%40.09%41.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.43%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.34%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.820%
Avantage -0.243%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.29%29.32%29.31%30.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.213.203.3835.71%31.20%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -1.57%E -0.489%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:35
LowVig.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -1.57%E -0.489%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.64%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 30.31%EV -1.88%E -0.585%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.38%EV -3.38%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.31%EV -2.58%E -0.777%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 17:15
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -1.78%E -0.727%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 17:04
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.39%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -1.78%E -0.727%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 16:35
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -2.58%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:04
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -2.58%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:05
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.19%EV -3.38%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.19%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -2.18%E -0.683%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:09
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.47%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.99%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:24
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:45
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.71%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:04
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -4.32%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.10%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:09
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.38%EV -4.63%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:22
Unibet (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 30.29%EV -4.63%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.91%EV -7.39%E -3.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.81%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:19
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:09
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:22
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:14
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 05:24
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:15
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:04
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:04
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:05
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:04
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -6.59%E -2.83%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:04
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -5.24%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.51%EV -5.85%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78%EV -2.18%E -0.894%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.71%EV -0.820%E -0.243%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:19
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:19
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:09
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:14
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.77%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:05
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:09
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:09
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:09
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.17%E -0.960%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:19
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:24
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:24
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:14
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.99%E -3.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:09
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:19
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.30%E -2.77%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.80%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.83%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.83%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:35
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.83%E -3.33%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.04%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -11.97%E -4.16%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.80%E -5.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -17.84%E -6.37%K -9.91%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 17:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-02-28 17:25
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-28 17:25
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%1.3%2026-02-28 17:24