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Málaga v Real Racing Club de Santander

2026-11-07 13:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Málaga (Local)

Prediction 41.14%2.43fair odd
EV -0.438%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.308%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.74%41.16%41.12%44.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.232.252.4250.00%44.93%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)

Prediction 32.64%3.06fair odd
EV -0.134%
Edge -0.044%
Kelly -0.065%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.50%32.56%32.61%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.893.0637.04%34.76%34.60%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.22%3.81fair odd
EV -0.354%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.126%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.28%26.27%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.8029.41%27.90%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Málaga (Local): 41.14%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 32.64%; Draw: 26.22%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.064. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.060, with an expected value of -0.134%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -0.438%E -0.181%K -0.308%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.53%EV -7.31%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -7.96%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 00:25
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -2.08%E -0.875%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.88%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 00:09
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.88%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.16%EV -0.134%E -0.044%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.97%EV -0.616%E -0.163%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-25 21:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.99%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.99%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 00:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 01:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.62%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.89%EV -5.79%E -2.53%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.19%EV -2.74%E -0.921%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -2.98%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 21:01
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -0.354%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 22:10
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.67%E -0.444%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.98%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 21:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.98%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:11
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 21:27
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 22:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -2.09%E -0.697%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.60%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 00:10
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -4.29%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.21%EV -16.48%E -8.12%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.99%EV -7.64%E -2.70%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 21:17
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -17.72%E -8.86%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -17.72%E -8.86%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -11.88%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-25 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-10-26 00:10